Multivariate normality for ML (robust corrections available).
Identification: enough indicators/constraints for a unique solution.
Causal interpretation requires design support, not just arrows.
Hypotheses
H₀ — Model-implied covariances equal population covariances (global); each path coefficient is zero (local).
H₁ — Misfit exists (global); paths differ from zero (local).
The concept
SEM stitches together two layers: a measurement layer (CFA — items reflect latents) and a structural layer (regressions among latents). Because relations are estimated between error-purged latent variables, structural coefficients are corrected for the attenuation that plagues scale-score regressions.
Best practice is Anderson–Gerbing two-step: validate the measurement model first, then fix it and test structural variants. Global fit uses the same battery as CFA; local results are standardized path coefficients with significance, plus indirect effects via bootstrapping for mediation chains. Model comparison (nested Δχ², or AIC/BIC) against plausible rivals — including reversed-path models — is what gives SEM its evidential bite. Equivalent models exist for almost any SEM; good fit never proves the causal story.
Worked example
A three-wave study (N = 385) tests: transformational leadership (T1) → psychological empowerment (T2) → work engagement (T3), with a direct path leadership → engagement.
Two-step: first run as pure CFA (all latents correlated); then replace correlations with the structural paths.
Report fit battery, standardized paths with p, R² of endogenous latents, and bootstrapped indirect effects.
Not possible. Use R (lavaan), Amos, Mplus, or semopy.
Excel's role is limited to descriptive tables and figures of the results.
Interpreting the output
Two-step reporting: measurement fit first, structural results second.
Standardized β per path with significance; R² for each endogenous construct.
Indirect effects with bootstrap CIs for mediation claims.
Model comparisons against rivals; acknowledge equivalent-model ambiguity.
Causal wording only as strong as the design (waves, controls, theory).
APA-style reporting
The hypothesized structural model fit the data well, χ²(163) = 322.8, p < .001, CFI = .95, RMSEA = .050, SRMR = .046. Transformational leadership predicted empowerment (β = .54, p < .001), which predicted engagement (β = .43, p < .001); the bootstrapped indirect effect was significant, β = .23, 95% CI [.16, .31], alongside a smaller direct effect (β = .16, p = .022). The model explained 41% of variance in engagement.
Common mistakes
Skipping measurement validation and interpreting paths from a misfitting model.
Treating good fit as proof of causality (equivalent models!).
Small-sample complex models with proudly reported but unstable estimates.
Trimming/adding paths post hoc without disclosure.
Ignoring measurement invariance before multi-group comparisons.